Nationals Moves

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     The
Jon Rauch for Emilio Bonifacio trade shocks me.   When I heard that the Nationals acquired Bonifacio for Rauch, I
was like “Okay, well they got some prospects, that makes sense”.  

rauch.jpg

Then I realized Bonifacio was the only
player the Nats got!  I didn’t need to
look at player pages or statistics.  I
instantly knew that this deal was horrible for the Nationals.

 

I
knew who Bonifacio was, and obviously I knew all about Rauch.  Bowden said this about the trade, “This
trade brings us a quality, young player, who has the potential to develop into
a solid leadoff hitter and outstanding defensive second baseman,” This is what
the Nationals.com beat writer Bill Ladson said in his article about the trade,

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Bonifacio
is viewed as having all of the tools necessary to hit leadoff in the big
leagues

 

I
double-checked Bonifacio’s numbers and what I saw didn’t say “future leadoff
hitter” like what Jim Bowden and Bill Ladson said. 

bonifacio.jpg

Rather, the numbers I saw said “solid utility infielder in two
years”.  A .339 career OBP in the
minors?   12 home runs in 648
games?  That’s not a starter in the
major leagues.  Even if his OBP was
higher and had some more pop, it still would not be a good deal.  Rauch is still too good for an average
second-baseman.

 

Take
a look at
Rauch’s numbers and Bonifacio’s numbers.  Fair trade?  No way.    Rauch could have fetched a package like
Joe Blanton.  But Adrian Cardenas, by
himself, is better than Bonifacio.

 

I
don’t mean to sound like I hate Bonifacio as a player, but I think it is ridiculous
that Bonifacio was all the Nats could get for Rauch.   Bowden screwed up big time.  

 

Meanwhile,
the Nationals agreed to a two-year contract extension with Christian
Guzman.   It’s hard to judge whether
this deal is good or bad. 

guzman.jpg

It’s a good
deal if it was meant to increase the trade value of Guzman, because the Nats
will get way more players if the team that acquires him will have him for
another two years.

 

This
is a bad deal if it is actually meant to have Guzman stay in Washington for
another two years.  Sure, Guzman may
help the Nats win some more games in the next two years, but who cares exactly
how many games the Nats win the next two years if it is clear they are not
going to be a contending team until at least four seasons. 

 

Guzman
is at the absolute peak of his trade value after this signing because he is 30
years old now.  Any team that acquires
him will have his contract run out right as Guzman’s career starts going down
hill.


Two bad moves by the Nationals, unless they trade Christan Guzman.   Guzman is a seriously overated player, who in my mind, barely is good enought to be a starter.  I know he’s an All-star, and leads the National League in hits, but he has a .333 OBP, and only 5 home runs.  Guzman has only drawn  a measly 17 walks all season.  I really don’t care about walks,  as long as yoou have a good .OBP, but need to have an awful amount of hits for you to have an exceptable .OBP.  

4 comments

  1. districtboy

    I’m not ignoring it, my point is that Guzman has somehow convinced me that a player can be average even if he leads the league in hits, by never walking and having little power. Hopefully though, some GMs will focus solely on all the singles he’s hit and overpay for him in a trade. I never thought I would regard the league leader in hits as an average player but Guzman has accomplished it. He ain’t McDonald in the field or Jacoby on the basepaths either.

  2. frankhe

    I’m OK with the Guzman signing, but I still really suspect there is something more then meets the eye on the Rauch/Bonifacio trade. Rauch has been crap since he went to Arizona … did Bowden know something we didn’t? He has been pitched to death the last couple years … is he hurt? I’m trying hard to give Bowden the benefit of the doubt on this one. (I also think they should give Wily Mo another shot next year, so you know how forgiving I can be.)

  3. districtboy

    Well, the trade was so uneven, you definitely have a point about Bowden knowing something maybe Josh Byrnes didn’t. Of course, if the D-Backs had no clue, then wouldn’t they still offer more for Rauch? Plus, I would have to imagine that the D-Backs would have put Rauch on the DL, if they thought struggles this year were related to an injury. Still, it wouldn’t be the first time Bowden traded a secretly injured set-up man. Remember the Gary Majewski situation?

    Thanks for stopping by and commenting.

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