Tagged: 2009

Rotation Picks

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I started the last entry
with my preseason playoff picks, but now it is time for something a little more
hardcore.

 

Below are
my picks, not predictions, for each big league team’s 2009 starting
rotation. 

 

Toronto
  1. Roy Halladay
  2. Jesse Litsch
  3. David Purcey

  4. Casey Janssen
  1. Bryan Bullington

 

Baltimore
  1. Jeremy Guthrie
  2. Koji Uehara
  3. Rich Hill
  4. Radhames Liz
  5. David Pauley

 

Tampa Bay
  1. Scott Kazmir
  2. James Shields
  3. Matt Garza
  4. Andy Sonnanstine
  5. Jeff Neimann

 

Boston
  1. Josh Beckett
  2. Jon Lester
  3. Daisuke Matsuzaka
  4. Tim Wakefield
  5. Clay Buchholz

 

New York
  1. CC Sabathia
  2. Chien-Ming Wang
  3. A.J. Burnett
  4. Andy Pettitte
  5. Joba Chamberlain

 

Cleveland
  1. Cliff Lee
  2. Fausto Carmona
  3. Anthony Reyes
  4. Aaron Laffey
  5. Jeremy Sowers

 

Kansas City
  1. Zack Greinke
  2. Gil Meche
  3. Kyle Davies
  4. Luke Hochevar
  5. Brian Bannister

 

Detroit
  1. Jeremy Bonderman
  2. Justin Verlander
  3. Armando Galarraga
  4. Edwin Jackson
  5. Chris Lambert

 

Minnesota

  1. Scott Baker
  2. Kevin Slowey
  3. Francisco Liriano
  4. Kevin Blackburn
  5. Glen Perkins

 

Chicago

  1. Mark Buehrle
  2. John Danks
  3. Gavin Floyd
  4. Jose Contreras
  5. Clayton Richard

 

Los Angeles
  1. John Lackey
  2. Ervin Santana
  3. Joe Saunders
  4. Jered Weaver
  5. Anthony Ortega


Oakland
  1. Justin Duchscherer
  2. Dana Eveland
  3. Dallas Braden
  4. Sean Gallagher
  5. Gio Gonzalez

 

Seattle
  1. Felix Hernandez
  2. Eric Bedard
  3. Jarrod Washburn
  4. Garrett Olson
  5. Ryan Rowland-Smith

 

Texas
  1. Kevin Millwood
  2. Vicente Padilla
  3. Brandon McCarthy
  4. Matt Harrison
  5. Doug Mathis

 

Atlanta
  1. Derek Lowe
  2. Jair Jurrjens
  3. Javier Vasquez
  4. Kenshin Kawakami
  5. Jo-Jo Reyes

 

Florida
  1. Josh Johnson
  2. Ricky Nolasco
  3. Chris Volstad
  4. Anibal Sanchez
  5. Andrew Miller

 

New York
  1. Johan Santana
  2. John Maine
  3. Mike Pelfrey
  4. Oliver Perez
  5. Tim Redding

 

Philadelphia
  1. Cole Hamels
  2. Brett Myers
  3. Jamie Moyer
  4. Joe Blanton
  5. J.A. Happ

 

Washington
  1. John Lannan
  2. Scott Olsen
  3. Shawn Hill
  4. Collin Balester
  5. Shairon Martis

 

Houston
  1. Roy Oswalt
  2. Wandy Rodriguez
  3. Mike Hampton
  4. Brian Moehler
  5. Brandon Backe

 

Milwaukee
  1. Yovani Gallardo
  2. Dave Bush
  3. Braden Looper
  4. Manny Parra
  5. Jeff Suppan

 

St. Louis
  1. Adam Wainwright
  2. Kyle Lohse
  3. Chris Carpenter
  4. Todd Wellemeyer
  5. Mitchell Boggs

 

Chicago
  1. Carlos Zambrano
  2. Ryan Dempster
  3. Rich Harden
  4. Ted Lilly
  5. Sean Marshall

 

Pittsburgh
  1. Paul Maholm
  2. Ian Snell
  3. Tom Gorzelanny
  4. Zach Duke
  5. Jeff Karstens

 

Cincinnati
  1. Edinson Volquez
  2. Aaron Harang
  3. Johnny Cueto
  4. Bronson Arroyo
  5. Homer Bailey

 

Arizona
  1. Brandon Webb
  2. Danny Haren
  3. Doug Davis
  4. Max Scherzer
  5. Jon Garland

 

Los Angeles
  1. Chad Billingsley
  2. Hiroki Kuroda
  3. Clayton Kershaw
  4. Randy Wolf
  5. James McDonald

 

San Francisco
  1. Tim Lincecum
  2. Matt Cain
  3. Barry Zito
  4. Randy Johnson
  5. Jonathan Sanchez

 

San Diego
  1. Jake Peavy
  2. Chris Young
  3. Josh Geer
  4. Cha Seung Baek
  5. Chad Reineke

 

Colorado
  1. Aaron Cook
  2. Ubaldo Jimenez
  3. Jason Marquis
  4. Greg Smith
  5. Jason Hirsh

 

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After making these lists
and seeing this
thread, I’ve been inspired to decide which rotation I think is the best.  As I’ve said earlier, I think Cleveland has
the best starting pitching depth, but as far as the most effective starting
five goes, I’ll have to take the Yankees. 
No one in the MLB can match Sabathia, Wang, Burnett, Pettitte, and
Chamberlain.  Plus New York has a bunch
of depth with Phil Hughes, Ian Kennedy, Alfredo Aceves, Humberto Sanchez, Kei
Igawa all in Triple-A presumably.  The
best National League rotation is, in my opinion, the Chicago Cubs.  Of course, that all depends on how healthy
Rich Harden can stay.

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And as for the worst…I’d
pick the Astros.  Sure, the Jays or
Pirates may have worse team pitching statistics in 2009, but Houston has
absolutely no depth and a weak collection of pitching prospects (and position
prospects for that matter).

 

As always, let me know
what you think.  In my next entry I’ll
continue my pre-season predictions/picks with giving my personal predictions
for all the major awards.

2009 Predictions

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It’s been a while since I last posted, but with
spring training just getting started, and most of the major free agent being
signed already, it’s time to bust out some preseason picks.  I guess I’ll
do the award picks later, but for the time being I will just give my
predictions for how each division will turn out (and of course a slight
explanation or comment as to why I have them placed there.)

Let’s get it going:

————————————–

  AL EAST

1. Yankees (darn cash…and
good scouting)

2. Red Sox (Offense is slightly,
and I mean slightly lacking)

3.
Rays (The reason Tampa Bay is in third place? The O-word)

4. Blue Jays (If I was in
a different mood, I might peg them to be last)

5. Orioles (It’s a toss up
between the O’s and Toronto for last place)

  AL
CENTRAL

1. Indians (Deeeeep
rotation=success)

2. White Sox (Good, not
great)

3. Twins (What’s the
point? They always prove everyone wrong!)

4. Royals (Happy
Dayton?  You’re not in the cellar! 
yay)

5. Tigers (I’ll give them
this: they are in baseball’s toughest division)

     AL WEST

1.
Athletics (If all their young players break out, they’ll easily win the West)

2.
Angels (Suspect offense, but fully capable of overtaking the A’s)

3.
Rangers (My pick for the 2012 World Champions…not kidding)

4. Mariners (No chance, especially with the poor
offseason they had)

    AL WILD CARD

         Red Sox (No surprise here but it will probably be a
very close race)

     NL EAST

           
1. Mets (The East is a messy division but I think they will come out on top)

2.
Phillies (It will be a mighty tough task to repeat)

3. Marlins (I wouldn’t be surprised if they make
the playoffs, seriously)

4. Braves (Money can’t fix everything – I’m looking
at you Frank Wren)

5. Nationals (Back-to-back first overall draft
picks?  I say yes!)

    NL
CENTRAL

1.
Cubs (Should easily beat out the Brew Crew and Cards)

2.
Brewers (May struggle to reach second place, let alone the playoffs)

3.
Cardinals (Very good depth, but the bullpen will be the ultimate decider)

4.
Reds (The manager’s a moron, the GM’s a moron, they’re all morons!)

5.
Astros (A blessing in disguise; it might finally force them to re-build)

6.
Pirates (On the right track; wait until 2012 Bucco fans)

    NL
WEST

1. Dodgers (Arizona and LA will battle it out until
the bitter end, but…)

2. D-Backs (unfortunately for D.C. native GM Josh
Byrnes, LA will prevail)

3.
Giants (I…I just can’t over that Edgar Renteria signing.  UGH)

4.
Rockies (Another rebuilding process, but it’s for the best)

5.
Padres (Once Moorad takes over, the re-building process should begin)

    NL WILD
CARD

Phillies (I predict
another disappointingly close year for the D-Backs)

   WORLD
SERIES

Cleveland Indians over
the Los Angeles Dodgers

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       These
predictions are not just some arbitrary picks (except for Toronto and B     Baltimore).  I truly think this is how the next season will turn
out.           

S     So,  tell me
what you think about my picks, and/or your picks for the 2009   W   World Series.

2009 Red Sox Rotation

I know it’s early to be thinking about 2009 starting rotations but with the news about Curt Schilling’s potentially career ending surgery, I started thinking about the Sox’s future rotation.  I think the chances of Theo Epstein resigning Bartolo Colon after this season are slim, and the battle of the last rotation spot seems more and more like it will be between Clay Buchholz and Justin Masterson.  My pick at this point would have to be Clay Buchholz.  First of all, if you look at Buchholz’s career minor league numbers versus Masterson’s ML numbers you have to like what Buchholz could do in 2009.  Buchholz has proven himself at every level in the minors, seems like he could still good work at the major league level this season.  I don’t see Clay being a very good major league starter until next year.  On the other hand, Masterson has seemingly breezed through the minors and posted great numbers in his first six starts with the Red Sox.  If you look closely at Masterson’s numbers you will see he REALLY went through the minors.  He started with Lancaster (High A) and did well in the hitter-friendly league.  He got called up to AA Portland and did absolutely phenomenal in his first four starts, but tailed off and ended with average numbers: 4-3, 4.34 in 10 starts. mastersonPIX.jpg

The Red Sox had Masterson start this year back in Portland, and once again had average numbers, 1-3, 4.28 in 8 starts.  After one start in AAA, Masterson got called up to Fenway and has made people forget how unspectacular he was in the minors. Masterson reminds of another sinkerball pitcher who was a rookie last year, Kyle Kendrick.  Kendrick was an essential piece of the Phillies run last year, but this year had tailed off to the tune of 5.06 ERA.   I don’t see how the Red Sox could keep Buchholz out of the rotation next year.  clay-buchholz.jpgHere are Buchholz’s minor league numbers: Double A – 16-6, 2.23 ERA with 189.2 innings pitched in 36 starts.  Triple A – 1-4 3.78 with 54.2 innings pitched in 12 starts.  The AAA numbers are not ace like, but I like what will Clay be able to do in his sixth professional season.  I see at least a number four starter in him next year.  After that, him and Beckett will be great at the top at the rotation.  I like a future Red Sox rotation of Josh Beckett, Daisuke Matsuzaka, Clay Buchholz, John Lester and Michael Bowden/Nick Hagadone .   Just in case you are wondering here are Hagadone’s (the Red Sox first draft  pick in 2007) numbers in the minors since he has been drafted:  2-1, 1.31 ERA with 34.1 innings pitched in 13 starts split with Low A and A ball.  OK, I’m done with this entry and hopefully I’ll be back blogging about some other team besides the Red Sox.  And just in case you have not seen it yet: copy and past this URL to the address bar: http://mlb.mlb.com/news/article.jsp?ymd=20080620&content_id=2969030&vkey=news_mlb&fext=.jsp&c_id=mlb