Jon Rauch for Emilio Bonifacio trade shocks me. When I heard that the Nationals acquired Bonifacio for Rauch, I
was like “Okay, well they got some prospects, that makes sense”.
Then I realized Bonifacio was the only
player the Nats got! I didn’t need to
look at player pages or statistics. I
instantly knew that this deal was horrible for the Nationals.
knew who Bonifacio was, and obviously I knew all about Rauch. Bowden said this about the trade, “This
trade brings us a quality, young player, who has the potential to develop into
a solid leadoff hitter and outstanding defensive second baseman,” This is what
the Nationals.com beat writer Bill Ladson said in his article about the trade,
is viewed as having all of the tools necessary to hit leadoff in the big
double-checked Bonifacio’s numbers and what I saw didn’t say “future leadoff
hitter” like what Jim Bowden and Bill Ladson said.
Rather, the numbers I saw said “solid utility infielder in two
years”. A .339 career OBP in the
minors? 12 home runs in 648
games? That’s not a starter in the
major leagues. Even if his OBP was
higher and had some more pop, it still would not be a good deal. Rauch is still too good for an average
don’t mean to sound like I hate Bonifacio as a player, but I think it is ridiculous
that Bonifacio was all the Nats could get for Rauch. Bowden screwed up big time.
the Nationals agreed to a two-year contract extension with Christian
Guzman. It’s hard to judge whether
this deal is good or bad.
It’s a good
deal if it was meant to increase the trade value of Guzman, because the Nats
will get way more players if the team that acquires him will have him for
another two years.
is a bad deal if it is actually meant to have Guzman stay in Washington for
another two years. Sure, Guzman may
help the Nats win some more games in the next two years, but who cares exactly
how many games the Nats win the next two years if it is clear they are not
going to be a contending team until at least four seasons.
is at the absolute peak of his trade value after this signing because he is 30
years old now. Any team that acquires
him will have his contract run out right as Guzman’s career starts going down
Two bad moves by the Nationals, unless they trade Christan Guzman. Guzman is a seriously overated player, who in my mind, barely is good enought to be a starter. I know he’s an All-star, and leads the National League in hits, but he has a .333 OBP, and only 5 home runs. Guzman has only drawn a measly 17 walks all season. I really don’t care about walks, as long as yoou have a good .OBP, but need to have an awful amount of hits for you to have an exceptable .OBP.
With the treading deadline coming, and rumors swirling, I’ve
just put together some trades that could make sense for both teams, or maybe
what a team should ask for a specific player on the block. Take Brian
Fuentes for example. I think the Rockies need to trade him.
The Rox need pitching too much to beat out the D-Backs or Dodgers for the NL
West. The Rays have so many young pitchers in their system, that’s a
great match for the Rockies and Rays to trade with each other.
Rays, seriously, are absolutely stocked with young pitching. I know the
saying “you can never have enough pitching” but if the
Rays want another player, they can afford to give up a pitcher. Brian
Fuentes can make any bullpen a lot better, and for the Rays, the boost would be
huge. The Rays have SO many young starting pitchers: Scott Kazmir, Andy
Sonnanstine, Edwin Jackson, James Shields, Jeff Niemann, David Price,
Chris Mason, Wade Davis, Jeremy Hellickson, and Jacob McGee. If the
Rays would never trade any of these pitchers, there would be some talented pitchers
not in the Rays rotation.
That where the Rockies come in. If
Chris Mason wasn’t having such a bad year in Durham, I’d propose a Mason for
Fuentes trade, straight up. But Mason’s value is greatly diminished, so I
think the Rockies should focus on Jeff Niemann(pictured).
In no way am I saying
that Niemann is a better prospect than Wade Davis, David Price, Jeremy
Hellickson, or Jacob McGee, but all of the names I just mentioned are not worth
giving up for just Brian Fuentes. Niemann seems right. He’s a big
guy, 6’10, who has been hampered by injuries early in his career, but over the
past two seasons at AAA he’s been healthy. He’s expendable for the Rays,
but would be considered a large part of the future of the Rockies
rotation. I had Niemann down to make the Rays rotation this spring over
Edwin Jackson and Jason Hammel. Jackson has done a fairly good job this year, so
I’ve been proven wrong, but Niemann is probably ready for the Majors now.
OK, so here is the list of trades I would make if I were the
GM of the Rockies, Rays or Nationals.
Brian Fuentes for Jeff Niemann
Tim Redding for Nick Stavinhoa and Mitchell Boggs
Odalis Perez Tyler Herron, Jaret Hoffpauier, and
Skip Schumaker and Daryl Jones
(Many different combinations involving these Cardinal prospects could be used, but these combos seem evenly balanced.)
Christian Guzman for James
Victor Garate, and Ivan De Jesus
Adolfo Gonzalez, Chin-lung Hu, and
It may be a stretch to say the Nationals could get McDonald
for letting the Dodgers rent Guzman for half a year.
McDonald(pictured) is the best Dodgers pitching prospect behind Clayton Kershaw,
and most likely will hold that title after this year. But because the N.L. West is so open for any team to break out,
the Dodgers may feel they need Guzman (which they do), so if the Nationals
could capitalize on the N.L. West situation and get a pitcher like James
McDonald that would be huge for the Nats future.
The Nationals also need some middle
infield prospects, so Hu, Gonzalez and De Jesus could be huge assets. The only legitimate
middle infield prospect in the Nats system is Esmailyn “Smilin” Gonzalez and he
is 18 years old playing in rookie ball. Who will play shortstop if Guzman goes? Either Pete Orr(I’m fine with that), or Yurendell De Caster. De Caster has been good in Columbus and deserves a first shot at the bigs.
Speaking of the Nationals, why do they have four catchers?
They just placed Wily Mo Pena on the DL, and reinstated Johnny Estrada to the
active roster. That means they have
Jesus Flores, Wil Nieves, Paul Lo Duca, and Johnny Estrada: all catchers. I’m fine with a team having three catchers
as long as one of them is can play other positions. But four!? I mean, Lo
Duca can play left, and first base, I suppose, but he plays below average in
all of those positions, including catcher.
Estrada has no upside whatsoever in my mind. He has no power, no speed and is a very below average
defender. I have no idea why the
Nationals didn’t do the sensible thing and call up an outfielder, since they
just put one on the DL. Just call up
Mike Daniel! I already talked about the
whole situation in this post. https://mlblogsdistrictboy.files.wordpress.com/2008/07/nelsoncruz-thumb-274×4111.jpgarchives/2008/07/the_nationals_report_part_2.html
On the Blanton deal, I like how Outman(awesome name!) and Cardenas look for
the future, but the Phillies really needed someone like Blanton in their
rotation and they finally realized that if you are going to be a
championship team, Adam Eaton isn’t in your rotation. One question I have is about Josh Outman. The Phillies were grooming him as a reliever
when the trade occurred.
I really don’t know why Outman(pictured above) stopped starting. His career was progressing very smoothly and
he ended the season with a successful call-up to AA. But after five starts in AA this year, the Phillies moved Outman to the
bullpen. His five starts were good and
he didn’t have trouble giving Reading innings but I guess the Phillies thought
in the long run Outman would be better as a reliever. I’ll just let you see the numbers for yourself. I just don’t get it. Here are Outman’s stats.
How bout some more random thoughts? How about the job Eric Stults
has done since being moved to the rotation?
It shows that not everyone is better suited as a reliever.
And lastly, a little chatter from the farm. I have attended some minor league games
recently and David Hernandez of the Baysox looked dominant. I’ll be keeping an eye on his career, but
the last minor leaguer who I followed after being impressed at a game hasn’t been
doing so well, Rodolfo Encarnacion.
Collin Cowgill has cooled down since being promoted to Class
A South Bend(ARI) and Mike Loree(SF) has, for one start, not been pitching like
Superman. Loree truly was incredible
and now matter what he does in his career, he already is guaranteed as the
topic for a “Cracked Bats” article in seventy years. Whenever I talk about the minors in general I have to give a
shout-out to my favorite MILB team. GO
I know this was a really messy blog topic-wise but hey, that what the title said – “Notes, Thoughts, and Trades”
P.S. Doesn’t seem
like a crime that Terry Tiffee, Brian Myrow(now a back-up in SD), John Lindsey, and Nelson Cruz are
still in AAA? Especially Nelson
Cruz. Those are SICK, SICK, SICK
numbers. Oh please Jon Daniels, trade
him to a team that isn’t stocked with outfielders. Anywhere. San Diego. Perfect.
Cruz to San Diego for some pitcher.
Jeez I don’t know maybe Enrique Gonzalez? It probably won’t happen.
Silly me. I’m just a dumb kid
who thought Texas could use some pitching….
“Stuck in Oklahoma”