OK, I’m watching the MLB draft coverage on MLB Network, and will do my very first live blog.
6:18, Nationals select Stephen Strasburg – What a twist!
6:20, Mariners select Dustin Ackley – It’s weird thinking of a first baseman as an athletic outfielder, but I guess I’ll have to use my imagination.
6:23, (Padres on the clock), I have no real comment, I just think HR is stupid.
6:24, Padres select Donovan Tate, hmmm, I like the pick, but I’m worried that the Padres just made this pick to “make a point” and didn’t select the best player available.
6:25, (Pittsburgh on the clock): Now I’m just waiting for Zack Wheeler to get drafted…
6:30, Pirates select Tony Sanchez – I wish Jonathan Mayo wasn’t so good, now the draft is boring.
6:31, (Orioles on the clock) – I don’t know–this is pure gut–but Sanchez just doesn’t seem like Sanchez holds up the others around him. God I sound clueless right now.
6:33, (O’s on the clock) – Let’s see when the Milb.com guru ends his streak…
6:35, Orioles select Matthew Hobgood – D’oh!
6:37, (Giants on the clock) – I’m always hesitant about listening to John Hart but he says Hobgood may have the highest upside of the all the HS pitchers…ooohh
6:40, SF select Zack Wheeler – yay
6:41, (Braves on the clock) – OK, so now that the “live reaction” pick is over, I’m starting to get excited about the number 10 pick.
6:42, Braves select Mike Minor – I guess Nashville is sort of close to Atlanta, but man, Frank Wren must be annoyed; Wheeler was from Dallas, GA. ATL loves them homegrown guys (even though that doesn’t make sense).
6:47, (Reds on the clock), Is it Matzek time?
6:48, (Reds on the clock), I know it won’t happen, but what if Rizzo takes Matzek? Oh, a kid can have hope. I’m not that high on Storen (or first round relievers in general). I hope Mayo’s finally wrong on this one.
6:52, Reds select Mike Leake, – Of course they select the opposite of Matzek.
6:53, Tigers select Jacob Turner – Not Alex White?! The Nats better take advantage of this. (And if you read between the lines, not select Jenkins!)
6:57, (Nats on the clock), Strasburg seems like a cool guy, but heck, he’s so one hour ago. Now it’s #10’s time to shine!
6:58, Nationals select Drew Storen, sigh…OK, I don’t agree with the move (another Eddie Kunz?), but at least Harold Reynolds can explain the move well: “Have you seen the Nationals’ bullpen?”
7:01, (Rockies on the clock), I think all Nats fans should take a time out in this high-pressure time and say prayer to Jim Bowden. “To Jimbo, thank you for all the high draft picks and I hope to god you did this on purpose. Your assistant Rizzo is obviously not smart enough to be a sucky GM. Amen”
7:04, Colorado selects Tyler Matzek – This year’s Rick Porcello.
7:06, Royals on the clock, I hope KC fans realize how sad it is that the Nats pick twice before the Royals do. Hahahaha! You should have lost intentionally Dayton Moore. Then maybe you could have gotten Matzek, at the very least
7:10, Royals select Aaron Crow – Blimey! I shouldn’t be surprised but I am. Its just hard picturing him in powder blue.
7:14, A’s select Grant Green, John Hart on the pick: “I like it, he’s a baseball player”
7:15, (Rangers on the clock), I don’t want to jinx it, but with the way things are going for Jon Daniels, I can’t think the Rangers pick will be anything but a stud.
—–P.S. I’m sorry for any grammatical or spelling mistakes. This is live baby!
7:22, Rangers select Matt Purke, Indians select Alex White, – Wow, a huge difference between these two. I thought the Nats should have snagged White (assuming they didn’t have the $ for Matzek), but watching a video of him I’m not so sure…he may have the dreaded “inverted W”.
7:25, (Arizona on the clock), – Mayo said that they would take Borchering if he’s available…
7:28, D-Backs select Bobby Borchering – Finally an intriguing, high-upisde bat.
7:30, (ARI on the clock) – again. Let’s see, college bat and…HS arm?
7:32, D-Backs select A.J. Pollock – Nope, HS bat. Mikey Rizzo is bummed.
7:34, (Marlins on the clock), I never knew Strasburg was rejected by Stanford. Huh.
7:37, Marlins select Chad James – I’m getting supremely annoyed by John Hart agreeing completely with every pick. What will drive him to disapprovement? I bet if the Nats selected my grandma he’s find the rationality.
7:40, Cardinals select Shelby Miller – Mo selects another HS arm. /yawn
7:44, (Jays on the clock), Will Chad Jenkins finally go?
7:46, Blue Jays select Chad Jenkins – Seems like a “Toronto pick”. Nothing amazing or spectacular but hard to argue with.
7:47, (Astros on the clock) – I’m liking Storen a little bit more since I now know he’s a Twitterer (and first one ever to be drafted).
7:49, Astros select Jiovanni Mier – OK, a high school SS. Not too bad. I would have re-Chaconed Ed Wade if Houston took another catcher.
7:52, (Twins on the clock), I’m watching the Ackley/White interview now, and I’m wondering: which organization would better to join? I’d go with Seattle…OK, I guess it’s not that tough of a decision.
7:55, Twins select Kyle Gibson – Another surprise pick by the Twinkies, and an awfully good one at that. It’s stupid not take a more talented player just because he has a confirmed injury that is going to heal; and it IS going to heal.
8:00, White Sox select Jared Mitchell – I have to admit, now we are getting down to players I don’t know too much about.
8:03, Angels select Randal Grichuk – Well he must be a smart pick because he’s a “gamer”.
8:06 (Angels on the clock once again) – It baffles my mind that Shawon Dunston didn’t know he was the first overall 1982 draft pick until he showed up for the minors.
8:11, Angels select Mike Trout – I sincerely liked what HR just said “when you think of the 2009 draft you’ll think of two things: Stephen Strasburg and Mike Trout.”
8:14, Brewers select Eric Arnett – He reminds of a college Michael Main (which by the way is a high compliment)
8:16, (Mariners on the clock), I hope they interview Zduriencik again; I like his voice.
8:18, Seattle selects Nick Franklin – A non-Bavasi draft pick is a good draft pick.
8:20, (Red Sox on the clock), Who will be the next player to back the statement that Boston is baseball’s best organization?
8:22, Red Sox selects Raymond Fuentes – For me, the most surprising pick so far.
8:27, Yankees select Slade Heathcott – Well, he may be a risky high school pick with a shaky past, but his name is Slade Heathcott!
8:30, (Rays on the clock) – I feel sad for them, I really do.
8:32, Rays select LeVon Washington – He’s a speedy, athletic infielder. That means that somewhere in a dark room Jim Bowden is drooling.
—-It’s COMP Time!
8:37, Cubs select Brett Jackson – What I’ve give to replace Harold Reynolds and John Hart with Jim Callis and Will Carroll. I’m getting really sick of all of this fluff.
For the past two drafts I’ve had players who I was very fond of. In 2007 it was Michael Main and in 2008 it was Roger Kieschnik. This year I really am looking forward to Eric Arnett’s future. Of course I am still anxiously waiting to the name of Gerard Hall Jr. to get called (I worked out with him and his father is my baseball coach.)
with my craze of 2009 picks, I’ll brake down my predictions for the winners
(and two runner-ups) of all the major awards for the upcoming season. Some awards are flawed like MVP, where some
voters pick the player who had the best overall season and some voters vote
literally for the player most valuable to a (usually successful) team. I usually sway toward the player with the
best overall season so here it goes:
1) Mark Teixeira
— It almost seems too easy to pick Teixeira as MVP, when
he is the bright new star on the team everyone is picking to go the
distance. The New Yankee Stadium’s
short porch, identical to its predecessor, will make Teixeira an even more
dangerous power hitter. If can have a
.632 SLG in the cavern of Turner Field, I can only guess that next season will
be one his greatest.
2) B.J. Upton
— No one knows for sure how much Upton’s shoulder
affected his power in 2008, but judging from his past slugging numbers, it did
a woozy. I expect B.J. Upton to bounce
back and have his power explode onto the scene. I’m guessing a 30/40 season in the works. If only he was as good of a autograph signer
as he was a baseball player…
3) Grady Sizemore
— As you may have already known, I’ve tabbed the Indians
as next year’s World Champions, and I fully believe Sizemore will be one of the
main reasons they are going to be so successful. He could wind up having an identical line as B.J. Upton, but I
think Upton could rack more stolen bases and a better OBP. But if the Indians go all the way, Sizemore
will without a doubt by vying for MVP.
1) Albert Pujols
Anyone want to argue with me?
2) David Wright
— As of
now, with all of their players healthy, the Mets are better than Philly. Wright probably will be challenged by Carlos
Beltran and Jose Reyes for votes, but most likely will overcome. The only question is whether Citi Field will
be better suited for right-handed or left-handed hitters. Given some smaller, lefty-friendly confines,
Beltran could reach 40 home runs and Reyes could reach 20.
3) Hanley Ramirez
— I had the
first pick in my fantasy draft this year and I chose Hanley. Going from leading off to hitting third can
only help his numbers as long as Cameron Maybin can do a good job of getting on
base in the leadoff spot. The Marlins
are poised to make a run for the NL Wild Card, but even if they falter this
year, Ramirez is almost a lock to have another great season.
AL Cy Young
1) Roy Halladay
— Besides run support, Halladay has everything in
place to repeat his dominant 2008 performance.
It really is impressive how effective he’s has been considering he
pitches in the best offensive division in baseball for the for the worst
hitting team in that division.
2) Cliff Lee
anyone figured yet why Cliff Lee had such a great year? I don’t think so. Well, then I have no reason to think Lee can’t repeat his pure
brilliance of 2008. But of course, the
chances that he actually does recapture his sudden outstanding brilliance of
last season are not that great. If I
were a betting man, I’d still go with Halladay.
3) John Danks
— There are
a slew of young pitchers who I predict will take it to the next level in 2009
like Ervin Santana, Zack Greinke, and Jon Lester. But I think Danks will be the one who really pitches himself into
the elite class of American League pitchers.
He was rushed into the majors in his rookie season but I have a gut
feeling 2008 is only a little of what Danks can accomplish.
NL Cy Young
1) Tim Lincecum
didn’t think Lincecum should have won the Cy Young last year, but I do
think he’ll deserve it this season.
With Santana having health issues, Webb moving slightly back to normal,
and Sabathia moving to the AL, Lincecum is by far the top favorite for the 09
NL Cy, and I don’t see a reason why he can’t get even better in his second full
2) Cole Hamels
— Everybody knows how good Hamels already is
already but he’s still getting better each season. I predict 238 innings and a 2.85 ERA for Hamels with a WHIP below
1 (he was only .08 above last year).
3) Chad Billingsley
— You saw what I predicted for Hamels and
Billingsley won’t be far behind if at all.
Like Hamels, the 24-year old has been getting more effective every
season. The big difference between
Billingsley and Hamels is that Hamels is entering his fourth season of starting
full-time in the bigs. Billingsley is
just entering just his second.
AL Rookie of the Year
1) Matt Wieters
— I’m well aware of the possibility that Wieters
has only played half a season in Double A and might spend the first month or so
in Norfolk. However it’s a sure thing
that Wieters will be in Baltimore by June if he stays healthy. And if he stays healthy…[whistle]
Prediction: .377 OBP, 26 HR, 78 RBI,
— Unlike Matt Wieters and
David Price, Snider has the pleasure of knowing he has a spot in the lineup
come Opening Day. I’m slightly worried
about how fast the Jays moved Snider through the minors in 2008, but his
numbers held up so I’m excited to see how well Snider can hit. And needless to say, he needs to swing the
bat well to stay with Toronto since he really can’t do anything else.
Prediction: .347 OBP,
19 HR, 71 RBI, 1 SB
3) David Price
— It would seem David Price winning the 2009 AL
Rookie of the Year would be oh so fitting after he burst onto the scene down
the stretch and dominated in the playoffs last season. But then reality sets in and a reasonable
fan realizes Price might spend a good chunk of time in Durham next year due to
the presence of Jeff Niemann. Plus,
Price was having all of that playoff success as a reliever not a starter, where
he would have to spread all of his strength and energy into six or seven
innings, not one or two. However, I’ve
obviously seen the first overall pick’s filthy stuff, so a full effective year
in the bigs definitely isn’t out of the question; just not very probable unless
someone in the Rays rotation gets injured.
Prediction: 21 GS, 3.60 ERA, 9 W, 4 L
NL Rookie of the Year
1) David Freese
— Other than Freese, I would like to know the last
time a player completely skipped Double-A and still had an amazing year at the
next level. Oh wait, I know: Albert Pujols! Anyway, the 25-year-old Freese had a great
year in Class A Advanced Lakeland before being traded over to St. Louis for Jim
Edmonds (nice going Kevin Towers) and had an even better offensive season in
the PCL. Troy Glaus will be recovered
from his injury by June at the latest, so Freese may end up either making the
Cards trade away Glaus or get traded away himself. No matter what happens with Glaus though, I doubt Freese will be
forced back to AAA again.
Prediction: .356 OBP 26 HR, 89 RBI, 4 SB
2) Chris Dickerson
— Unless the horrific Reds front office for some
reason doesn’t let Dickerson play everyday, he’ll become the next young Reds
position player to break out. Imagine a
prototypical athletic outfielder…that can actually hit.
My Prediction: .362 OBP 15 HR, 69 RBI, 34 SB
3) Gaby Sanchez
— Sanchez is a risky pick here because unlike
other ROY candidates like Travis Ishikawa, Colby Rasmus, or Elvis Andrus, he
really needs to have a great spring to secure a major league roster spot. However, I predict he will not only win the
Marlins first-base job but have a very good rookie year. The only problem with Gaby Sanchez winning a
spot is that Dallas McPherson or Jorge Cantu will unfairly be sent down or put
on the bench.
Prediction: .343 OBP, 20 HR, 67 RBI, 5 SB
I started the last entry
with my preseason playoff picks, but now it is time for something a little more
my picks, not predictions, for each big league team’s 2009 starting
- Roy Halladay
- Jesse Litsch
- David Purcey
- Bryan Bullington
- Jeremy Guthrie
- Koji Uehara
- Rich Hill
- Radhames Liz
- David Pauley
- Scott Kazmir
- James Shields
- Matt Garza
- Andy Sonnanstine
- Jeff Neimann
- Josh Beckett
- Jon Lester
- Daisuke Matsuzaka
- Tim Wakefield
- Clay Buchholz
- CC Sabathia
- Chien-Ming Wang
- A.J. Burnett
- Andy Pettitte
- Joba Chamberlain
- Cliff Lee
- Fausto Carmona
- Anthony Reyes
- Aaron Laffey
- Jeremy Sowers
- Zack Greinke
- Gil Meche
- Kyle Davies
- Luke Hochevar
- Brian Bannister
- Jeremy Bonderman
- Justin Verlander
- Armando Galarraga
- Edwin Jackson
- Chris Lambert
- Scott Baker
- Kevin Slowey
- Francisco Liriano
- Kevin Blackburn
- Glen Perkins
- Mark Buehrle
- John Danks
- Gavin Floyd
- Jose Contreras
- Clayton Richard
- John Lackey
- Ervin Santana
- Joe Saunders
- Jered Weaver
- Anthony Ortega
- Justin Duchscherer
- Dana Eveland
- Dallas Braden
- Sean Gallagher
- Gio Gonzalez
- Felix Hernandez
- Eric Bedard
- Jarrod Washburn
- Garrett Olson
- Ryan Rowland-Smith
- Kevin Millwood
- Vicente Padilla
- Brandon McCarthy
- Matt Harrison
- Doug Mathis
- Derek Lowe
- Jair Jurrjens
- Javier Vasquez
- Kenshin Kawakami
- Jo-Jo Reyes
- Josh Johnson
- Ricky Nolasco
- Chris Volstad
- Anibal Sanchez
- Andrew Miller
- Johan Santana
- John Maine
- Mike Pelfrey
- Oliver Perez
- Tim Redding
- Cole Hamels
- Brett Myers
- Jamie Moyer
- Joe Blanton
- J.A. Happ
- John Lannan
- Scott Olsen
- Shawn Hill
- Collin Balester
- Shairon Martis
- Roy Oswalt
- Wandy Rodriguez
- Mike Hampton
- Brian Moehler
- Brandon Backe
- Yovani Gallardo
- Dave Bush
- Braden Looper
- Manny Parra
- Jeff Suppan
- Adam Wainwright
- Kyle Lohse
- Chris Carpenter
- Todd Wellemeyer
- Mitchell Boggs
- Carlos Zambrano
- Ryan Dempster
- Rich Harden
- Ted Lilly
- Sean Marshall
- Paul Maholm
- Ian Snell
- Tom Gorzelanny
- Zach Duke
- Jeff Karstens
- Edinson Volquez
- Aaron Harang
- Johnny Cueto
- Bronson Arroyo
- Homer Bailey
- Brandon Webb
- Danny Haren
- Doug Davis
- Max Scherzer
- Jon Garland
- Chad Billingsley
- Hiroki Kuroda
- Clayton Kershaw
- Randy Wolf
- James McDonald
- Tim Lincecum
- Matt Cain
- Barry Zito
- Randy Johnson
- Jonathan Sanchez
- Jake Peavy
- Chris Young
- Josh Geer
- Cha Seung Baek
- Chad Reineke
- Aaron Cook
- Ubaldo Jimenez
- Jason Marquis
- Greg Smith
- Jason Hirsh
After making these lists
and seeing this
thread, I’ve been inspired to decide which rotation I think is the best. As I’ve said earlier, I think Cleveland has
the best starting pitching depth, but as far as the most effective starting
five goes, I’ll have to take the Yankees.
No one in the MLB can match Sabathia, Wang, Burnett, Pettitte, and
Chamberlain. Plus New York has a bunch
of depth with Phil Hughes, Ian Kennedy, Alfredo Aceves, Humberto Sanchez, Kei
Igawa all in Triple-A presumably. The
best National League rotation is, in my opinion, the Chicago Cubs. Of course, that all depends on how healthy
Rich Harden can stay.
And as for the worst…I’d
pick the Astros. Sure, the Jays or
Pirates may have worse team pitching statistics in 2009, but Houston has
absolutely no depth and a weak collection of pitching prospects (and position
prospects for that matter).
As always, let me know
what you think. In my next entry I’ll
continue my pre-season predictions/picks with giving my personal predictions
for all the major awards.
It’s been a while since I last posted, but with
spring training just getting started, and most of the major free agent being
signed already, it’s time to bust out some preseason picks. I guess I’ll
do the award picks later, but for the time being I will just give my
predictions for how each division will turn out (and of course a slight
explanation or comment as to why I have them placed there.)
Let’s get it going:
1. Yankees (darn cash…and
2. Red Sox (Offense is slightly,
and I mean slightly lacking)
Rays (The reason Tampa Bay is in third place? The O-word)
4. Blue Jays (If I was in
a different mood, I might peg them to be last)
5. Orioles (It’s a toss up
between the O’s and Toronto for last place)
1. Indians (Deeeeep
2. White Sox (Good, not
3. Twins (What’s the
point? They always prove everyone wrong!)
4. Royals (Happy
Dayton? You’re not in the cellar! yay)
5. Tigers (I’ll give them
this: they are in baseball’s toughest division)
Athletics (If all their young players break out, they’ll easily win the West)
Angels (Suspect offense, but fully capable of overtaking the A’s)
Rangers (My pick for the 2012 World Champions…not kidding)
4. Mariners (No chance, especially with the poor
offseason they had)
AL WILD CARD
Red Sox (No surprise here but it will probably be a
very close race)
1. Mets (The East is a messy division but I think they will come out on top)
Phillies (It will be a mighty tough task to repeat)
3. Marlins (I wouldn’t be surprised if they make
the playoffs, seriously)
4. Braves (Money can’t fix everything – I’m looking
at you Frank Wren)
5. Nationals (Back-to-back first overall draft
picks? I say yes!)
Cubs (Should easily beat out the Brew Crew and Cards)
Brewers (May struggle to reach second place, let alone the playoffs)
Cardinals (Very good depth, but the bullpen will be the ultimate decider)
Reds (The manager’s a moron, the GM’s a moron, they’re all morons!)
Astros (A blessing in disguise; it might finally force them to re-build)
Pirates (On the right track; wait until 2012 Bucco fans)
1. Dodgers (Arizona and LA will battle it out until
the bitter end, but…)
2. D-Backs (unfortunately for D.C. native GM Josh
Byrnes, LA will prevail)
Giants (I…I just can’t over that Edgar Renteria signing. UGH)
Rockies (Another rebuilding process, but it’s for the best)
Padres (Once Moorad takes over, the re-building process should begin)
Phillies (I predict
another disappointingly close year for the D-Backs)
Cleveland Indians over
the Los Angeles Dodgers
predictions are not just some arbitrary picks (except for Toronto and B Baltimore). I truly think this is how the next season will turn
S So, tell me
what you think about my picks, and/or your picks for the 2009 W World Series.
one almost slipped by me, but the White Sox signed right-handed reliever Ryan Braun. About a month ago, I wrote
a big rant concerning the mistreatment of the “other Ryan Braun”, and in
the entry I promised to praise the GM that would re-sign the pitcher after the
Royals released him.
So, on January 12th,
White Sox GM Kenny Williams inked Braun to a minor league deal. Although he’ll will probably spend most of
2009 in South Carolina playing for the Charlotte Knights (“The Castle” is in Fort
Mill), you can bet the 28-year-old will dominate. There is no reason to think Braun won’t, considering that is what he’s done his whole minor-league career. I just hope the White Sox can overlook his
2007 season and give him another chance in the big leagues.
Mr. Williams, even if you only made the move to take up a Triple-A roster space
and have no expectations for Braun at all, you deserve this:
you read my latest
entry, and were wondering what I was up to on January 20th, I
was busy complaining under my breath (and sometimes out loud.) The reason was that some people who had
tickets for the inauguration did not get in…and I was one of them. I know it could have been worse. I’m glad I was not one the people who paid
hundreds of dollars for tickets, flown in from Europe, got up at 4:00 AM, and
waited in line for six hours. I was
lucky enough to run home and barely get to see John Roberts humiliate
know it could have been much, much
worse, but still, I have the right to be a little annoyed.
Saturday morning, I stumbled across this
article on how Astros reliever LaTroy Hawkins was coming to the District for the
inauguration. So naturally, I had to
go. The mission was simple: find LaTroy
Hawkins, while simultaneously attempting to come as close as possible to the
Lincoln Memorial, where the We Are One concert was being held.
Capitol was getting decked out:
were coming from every which way:
I didn’t truly appreciate the massive number of people until I reached the
Washington Monument and saw the sea of people:
By climbing over chains, squeezing past people, and taking an extremely indirect
route, I finally made it to the best location I was going to stand in that
day. And this is how far away it twas:
was the view behind me, facing the Washington Monument:
A LOT of people. That’s all there was
can only describe what it was like walking through 17th Street in
Yep, sardines (the picture
below DOES NOT, I repeat DOES NOT do the situation justice):
Minutes after the concert ended, enter claustrophobia
White House on its third-to-last day of infestation:
What’s the big deal with Hank Aaron’s number?
The First Amendment from
Canada being Canada:
Celebrating their new
And that’s about it…
I’m going to the
Inauguration tomorrow (or technically today) and will probably take better
photos this time around. Although the
chances of seeing LaTroy Hawkins are about as good as the Nationals winning
the pennant next year, I’ll still have my eyes wide open. But even if LaTroy eludes me, it will be a
fine day (figuratively
About four months ago I
entry focused entirely about the stupidity of the Cincinnati Reds front
office. San Francisco, Atlanta, Kansas
City, and Washington have all challenged that title since, but the combo of
Baker, general manager Walt Jocketty, and owner Bob
Castellini has proved to be tough to overcome.
As Baker continues to
completely ignore any factual information given to him, and Bob Castellini (nice button)
continues to oversee a baseball system pounding itself into the ground, Walt
Jocketty is still signing incompetent players to ridiculous contracts, and
trading away top prospects at the time when they are most needed.
The past two Reds
transactions may be Jocketty’s worst yet.
Let’s start it off with this trade, and on the next entry I’ll wrap up
the other horrific transaction made by Jocketty.
The Reds trade away Ryan Freel, Brandon Waring,
Turner to BAL for Ramon
Wow. Where do we begin? This is just a mess of a trade for Cincinnati. Now before I start getting into the players
involved, one must realize that the Reds also received $2 million from the
But that’s only the case because
Ramon Hernandez’s salary is ridiculously high at $8.5 million. I still think $6.5 million is way too
much to pay for Hernandez. However, in
the end, money can be recovered one way or another, but losing top prospects
cannot (especially when you have such a poorly managed front office, as the
Reds do). I cannot assess Walt
Jocketty’s scouting department very accurately yet, since he has only been at
the GM helm for a little less than nine months. But judging from his time with St. Louis, he didn’t have a very
good eye for scouts. Basically,
Jocketty is slowly but surely using the talent [gulp] Jim Bowden, [gulp] Dan
O’Brien, and Wayne Krivsky (not bad enough for a gulp) found and/or drafted,
and Walt is trading them away for his own “preferred” players.
The Ramon Hernandez trade
is a perfect example of that. You can’t
blame Jocketty for not having drafted the prospects currently in Cincinnati’s
farm clubs, but he is single-handedly destroying what little pieces of talent
the Reds had left to begin with in the minors.
Justin Turner and Brandon
Waring may not be Grade-A prospects, but both have a bright future, judging
from their minor league statistics, especially Waring. Just by taking a quick look at his 2007
statistics in Low-A, you can see Waring’s massive slugging potential.
Heck, including college, he hit 57 home runs
in 2007…in 489 at-bats! Not that it has
that much meaning, but The Baseball Cube’s scouting report on Waring has
his power ranked at 100 (of out 100).
However, Waring’s output
fell drastically in 2008 (20 HR), and predictably, so did his OBP
(.346). I don’t know what caused the
drop in power, but the cold hard fact is that his slugging percentage fell 147
points, and that is probably why the Reds were willing to give him up (not to
say they were right to do so).
Waring may never get back
to the serious upside he showed with rookie-ball Billings, but a .340 OBP with
twenty dingers a season is still pretty solid.
Turner looks like he may wind up being Brian Roberts’ replacement in
2010 (when Roberts’ contract runs out).
Maybe a more realistic expectation for Turner may be a poor man’s Chuck
Knoblauch (which is not as bad as it sounds) or that of a Ryan Freel-type,
without the ability to play outfield. Of course, one of Ryan Freel’s main assets is his immense
versatility (2B, 3B, LF, CF, RF).
I’m not exactly sure where
Freel fits in with the O’s next year.
The O’s have a logjam of outfielders already (Scott, Jones, Markakis,
Pie and Montanez), and capable infielders as well.
Baltimore’s only major hole is at SS, which is the one position
Freel doesn’t play. General
manger Andy MacPhail should trade Melvin Mora, Brian Roberts, and Luke
Scott this off-season. But seeing the
slim chances of that happening, the 33-year-old probably will just be a
super-utility guy. I understand that
Ryan Freel is a name more recognizable than Brandon Waring or Justin Turner,
but I frowned whenever I saw an article refer to it as “Ramon Hernandez for
Ryan Freel, and two other prospects”.
If nothing else, the Reds forced Baltimore to take Freel, because
of the four million dollars he is owed next year.
This was DISASTROUS
for Cincinnati, and I was just stunned that Baltimore could get anything for
Ramon Hernandez, let alone two good prospects from an equally awful team such
as the Reds. Bottom, bottom Line: Andy
MacPhail is either a genius, or Old Jock’ had lost his meds. Yeeaahh, most likely the
Reds – D-
Orioles – A
OK, so in a future post
I’ll go over the other transaction that cements my claim that Cincinnati has
the worst management in the game. And
if you are a disgruntled Reds fan, or just simply depressed by the sheer
incompetent nature of the organization, I have the thing for you!